Compelling electoral analysis at your fingertips. Brought to you by Harrison Lavelle, Lakshya Jain, Leon Sit, and Armin Thomas

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World Report: Landtagswahl in Niedersachsen

BACKGROUND On October 9th, voters will go to the polls to determine the composition of Niedersachsen’s Landtag (state parliament). This is the fifth Landtagswahl of 2022, with elections in Saarland, Schleswig-Holstein, Nordrhein-Westfalen, and Sachsen having occurred earlier this year. While these contests can provide valuable insight into how different Germans feel about their federal government, […]

World Report: Brazil Special

BACKGROUND The last edition of World Report focused on the state of right-wing populist parties in Europe, concluding that while some have recently gained ground, their odds of long-term growth are contingent on differences in culture, institutions, and socioeconomic situations between the various countries. Italy, for instance, has proven far more cogent to the right’s […]

October Gubernatorial Ratings Changes

Since our last Split Ticket gubernatorial ratings update, a lot has changed in the political landscape. Accordingly, we are making ratings changes to reflect the updated pictures in the national and statewide political environments as the election nears. Our current ratings are listed below. Democrats are favored to win 21 governorships, while Republicans are favored […]

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