We are a group of political and election enthusiasts who first became interested in mapping and modeling elections through a community on Twitter called #ElectionTwitter. In late 2021, Harrison, Armin, and Lakshya decided to create a formal website for their mapping, modeling, and political forecasting work, and in 2022, Leon and Clare joined Split Ticket.

Our focus is on trying to present electoral data in a compelling and easy-to-understand fashion that offers new insight for both the layman and the experienced politicos. We do so by taking a data-driven approach to our articles, ratings, and modeling, and try to be very transparent about all the assumptions and methodological procedures that we follow in creating our work. On election nights, we hold Twitter spaces and call races as well on our official Twitter account (@SplitTicket_).

While we each have our partisan affiliations, we very much try to write in a nonpartisan tone on the website, and we try to protect our predictions from partisan biases to the best degree possible. We feel that the diversity of political views on our team helps act as a regularizer.

Get in touch

You can email us at info@split-ticket.org or DM and follow us on our Twitter.


If you are a member of the media and would like to get in touch with a Split Ticket partner, you can email us at media@split-ticket.org or DM us on Twitter.


Harrison Lavelle
I am a political analyst studying Political Science and International Relations at the College of New Jersey. As a co-founder and partner at Split Ticket, I coordinate our House coverage. I write about a variety of electoral topics and produce political maps. Besides elections, my hobbies include music, history, language, fitness, and aviation. 

Lakshya Jain
I do modeling and data pieces for Split Ticket and handle our presidential ratings. I’m a Machine Learning Engineer who analyzes political data in his free time. I went to UC Berkeley (class of 2019 – BA, 2020 – MS), majoring in computer science. My writing has also appeared in Sabato’s Crystal Ball and The Bulwark.

Armin Thomas
I do modeling, data analysis, and mapping for Split Ticket, and also do deep dives on the political trends of specific states and elections. I graduated from Yale in 2021, majoring in Statistics and Data Science.

Clare Considine
I’m a DC-based survey methodologist and analyst with a campaign background. I’ve worked on federal, state, and local races, particularly in the rural and metropolitan South. I write about campaign finance, women’s issues, and public opinion trends.

Leon Sit
I’m a UCLA engineering student who edits and makes graphics for Split Ticket. I’ve previously run as an independent candidate for California’s State Assembly.