Category: Polling
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What’s Going On With Trafalgar’s Polls?
Over the last two presidential cycles, the Trafalgar Group rose to fame for its polling, which yielded better-than-average results for Republicans and indicated closer races for Donald Trump than many other outlets predicted. Trafalgar partly attributes those numbers to its “social desirability metric”, which the firm claims adjusts for respondents, especially conservatives, answering the way […]
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Has The Supreme Court Ruling On Abortion Changed The Electoral Picture?
On June 24, the Supreme Court issued a ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson declaring that the right to an abortion was not constitutionally protected and could be blocked by states. The ruling, which was deeply unpopular across the nation, set off a firestorm of debate on both sides regarding legislation and electoral prospects. Questions abounded […]
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Independents Hold The Key To Any Biden Rebound
One of the most heavily debated topics in politics is just what, exactly, is the cause behind Joe Biden’s dismal approval ratings. It isn’t clear that his approvals should be mired in the low-40s, either, if history is to serve as any indicator; in fact, a recent Gallup poll found that at this point in […]