adamcarlson8
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Crosstabs at a Crossroads: Six Months Out
Just under six months out from Election Day, national polling averages are showing Donald Trump leading Joe Biden by just over 1 percentage point. They also show that, despite narratives of “momentum” for either candidate, the race has been fairly stable for the better part of a year. But what’s… Read More
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What Do Aggregated Crosstabs Tell Us About 2024?
Now more than ever, political observers seem to be digging into polls’ crosstabs, oftentimes reacting with incredulity at some of the results among certain demographic subgroups. Sometimes they’ll even point to these seemingly impossible subgroup margins (e.g., “There’s just no way Trump is leading Biden among white college graduates!”) as… Read More