Category: House 2022
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8/23 Primary Recap
SENATE FLORIDA In the Florida Senate race, 10th district Congresswoman Val Demings secured the Democratic nomination to take on incumbent Republican Marco Rubio without a significant protest vote. Her nearest competitor, Brian Rush, carried just Liberty and Holmes counties, both located in the Panhandle. Rubio is a strong favorite to win reelection in the fall, […]
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House Watchlist (8/23)
HOT RACES (NEW YORK, FLORIDA, OKLAHOMA) Florida’s 7th district Florida’s new 7th district (Trump +5.5) is one of the GOP’s top post-redistricting targets. The 2012 iteration of the seat (Biden +10) was greatly altered by state Republicans, who exchanged Democratic turf in Orange County, including the whiter sections of eastern Orlando, for rightward-trending portions of […]
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Primary Recap 8/16
Alaska Senate In a surprisingly strong showing, incumbent GOP senator Lisa Murkowski ended up with a lead of over four points on Trump-endorsed challenger Kelly Tshibaka, which is only projected to grow once all ballots are tabulated. More tellingly, Murkowski and the Democratic candidates combined for 52 percent of the vote, which bodes very well […]
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8/16 Primary Watchlist
Alaska Senate In an eerily similar situation to 2010, incumbent Republican senator Lisa Murkowski, one of the leaders of the GOP’s moderate wing, will once again be facing a serious challenge from her right flank. This time, Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka is attempting to unseat her, and if this was the old system with two-party primaries, […]
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8/9 Primary Recap
Governor In Wisconsin, Trump-backed businessman Tim Michels won the GOP gubernatorial against former Lt. Governor Rebecca Kleefisch 47-42%. Timothy Ramthun finished third with just 6% of the vote. Going into this election, Split Ticket respectably issued an ultimately-incorrect LEANS KLEEFISCH rating. But why? Before any ballots were counted in Tuesday, most election analysts expected the […]
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8/9 Primary Watchlist
Senate VERMONT – 7:00 EDT Former US Attorney Christina Nolan, a moderate, will likely win the Republican nomination. She will go up against Democratic congressman Peter Welch in the race to succeed the retiring Democratic senator Patrick Leahy. We rate this race as SAFE DEMOCRATIC. CONNECTICUT – 8:00 EDTIn Connecticut, the GOP primary will come […]
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House Primary Recap: 8/2
*All numbers current as of publication per New York Times* Arizona AZ-01 Likely Schweikert (Predicted Correctly) In Arizona’s 1st district, incumbent Republican David Schweikert won renomination with 43% of the vote. His nearest opponent, businessman Elijah Norton, took 33%. Given the incumbent’s relatively-low share of the vote, it is probable that he would have lost […]