Category: Ratings
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Redistricting in the Empire State
Introduction After a long wait, one of the nation’s most consequential gerrymanders debuted yesterday. The Empire State kept the political world waiting eagerly for months, with most serious analysts wondering just how aggressive the legislature would draw the lines for the upcoming decade. Along with Illinois, New York is the… Read More
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New Mexico, Land of Enchanting Politics
The politics of New Mexico reflect its position at the crossroads of multiple cultures, polities, and societies. Today, Split Ticket dives into past and present political developments in New Mexico to help deconstruct and analyze the state’s politics as we head into another election season. The full report is available… Read More
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Redistricting Bonanza: AZ, MI, and VA
Introduction The end of the Christmas reprieve left this week packed with fascinating redistricting developments. Before the holidays we reviewed California and New Jersey, both of which you can read about here. This piece will be focusing on the electoral implications posed by newly-enacted maps in Arizona, Michigan, and Virginia. So… Read More
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NJ's Congressional Districts: A Deep Dive
New Jersey’s New Districts: A Deep Dive Introduction On Wednesday, the New Jersey Redistricting Commission adopted Congressional districts for the next decade. Tiebreaking commissioner John Wallace backed the Democratic plan, arguing that it was a fair move because Republicans drew the lines last cycle. The new boundaries benefit most of… Read More
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Our 2022 Senate Ratings
With the 2022 midterm elections under a year away, Split Ticket is pleased to introduce its Senate ratings for next November. In this preview, we’ll be covering all seats rated as potentially competitive by at least one forecaster between the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. 1. Pennsylvania (OPEN… Read More
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Our House Ratings: A Quick Look
Introduction Split Ticket is excited to announce the release of our initial House ratings. This installment covers states that have enacted maps, or are expected to adopt recent proposals. As with all of our ratings, we will be using the Likely-Lean-Tossup system. Let’s take a look at the seven tossup… Read More
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Our Gubernatorial Ratings: A Rundown
Introduction Split Ticket is proud to announce our first set of race ratings for the 2022 cycle. This installment covers all 36 of next year’s gubernatorial contests, with a focus on the most competitive contests. Our Senate ratings will debut on Wednesday, followed by a look at some of the… Read More