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Is It Normal For Young Voters To Be This Democratic?
“To be conservative as a young person means that one has no heart, but to be liberal as an old person means that one has no brain”.The above quote is one of the oldest notions in politics, and it conveys the expectation that young voters, who consistently display the most liberal social attitudes, vote overwhelmingly… Read more
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A Detailed Look Back At The 2000 Presidential Election
Introduction The 2000 presidential election was one of the most significant in American history, from the heated campaign between George W. Bush and Al Gore to the Supreme Court’s controversial affirmation of the decisively-narrow Republican victory in Florida. At the time, Democrats were trying to hold onto the White House after two terms of Bill… Read more
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Iowa, Partisanship, and Identity: An Interview with Rob Sand
“The most underappreciated thing about Iowa’s swing towards Trump is that it’s actually a thing of consistency. We stuck with the outsider. We picked the change candidate in 2008 and stuck with the change candidate in 2012 against a caricature of what a Democrat wants to run against in a Republican. In 2016, we went… Read more
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New Jersey’s Realignment
Introduction Like in most American states, the geographic voting patterns of the reliably-Democratic Garden State have changed significantly in just the last ten years. Ancestral leanings are still visible in downballot elections for Governor and the legislature, but the overarching trends have even begun to manifest themselves at the local level. While it would be… Read more
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Has The Supreme Court Ruling On Abortion Changed The Electoral Picture?
On June 24, the Supreme Court issued a ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson declaring that the right to an abortion was not constitutionally protected and could be blocked by states. The ruling, which was deeply unpopular across the nation, set off a firestorm of debate on both sides regarding legislation and electoral prospects. Questions abounded… Read more
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Maryland Statewide Primary Preview
With Governor Larry Hogan (R) term-limited, Attorney General Brian Frosh (D) retiring, and Comptroller Peter Franchot (D) running for Governor, Marylanders will enjoy a once in a blue moon opportunity to choose new nominees for all three statewide offices. Although every office has attracted a variety of interesting faces, the election season itself has largely… Read more
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World Report: Second Edition
Important Updates Ex-Japanese PM Shinzo Abe assassinated, LDP succeeds in House of Councillors (Sangiin) election On the 8th of July, former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was assassinated while giving a campaign speech for an LDP Sangiin candidate. The assailant, a 41-year old ex-soldier using a modified weapon, targeted Abe because he considered the erstwhile… Read more
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World Report: Return Edition
Introduction A swarm of June primary elections in the United States recently subsided, allowing Split Ticket to turn its attention once more to the rest of the globe. This is the Return Edition of World Report, an article series devoted to covering foreign elections and politics. Since the majority of the primaries in the U.S.… Read more
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How Much More Ticket-Splitting Do Governor Races Have?
The notion that voters are far more willing to cross party lines for statewide offices than for federal positions is one of the most-commonly held viewpoints in politics today. It’s a point reinforced by scores of data that we do have; there’s little chance that ultra-popular GOP governor Charlie Baker would be winning a Senate… Read more
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Henry Cuellar: The Last Politiquero
Introduction South Texas’s sharp shift in 2020 to the Republican Party surprised many. This region is dominated by working-class Latinos, many of whom are Catholic, forming an overlap of the Texas Democratic Party’s historically strongest demographics. Even in Republican landslides such as Senator John Cornyn’s 2014 rout of David Alameel, South Texas stuck with the… Read more
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