Leon Sit
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8/9 Primary Watchlist
Senate VERMONT – 7:00 EDT Former US Attorney Christina Nolan, a moderate, will likely win the Republican nomination. She will go up against Democratic congressman Peter Welch in the race to succeed the retiring Democratic senator Patrick Leahy. We rate this race as SAFE DEMOCRATIC. CONNECTICUT – 8:00 EDTIn Connecticut,… Read More
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8/2 Statewide Primary Previews
Senate MISSOURI – 8 EDT For a long time, it looked as if disgraced ex-Governor Eric Greitens was going to be the Republican nominee (and thus the heavy favorite for the November election). However, Attorney General Eric Schmitt has surged of late, with conservatives eager to rally around a less… Read More
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Henry Cuellar: The Last Politiquero
Introduction South Texas’s sharp shift in 2020 to the Republican Party surprised many. This region is dominated by working-class Latinos, many of whom are Catholic, forming an overlap of the Texas Democratic Party’s historically strongest demographics. Even in Republican landslides such as Senator John Cornyn’s 2014 rout of David Alameel,… Read More
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Gubernatorial Ratings Update: 6/1
Michigan In a stunning turn of events, the top three candidates for the GOP gubernatorial nomination were kicked off the ballot for signature fraud, leaving Republicans with a splintered field of underwhelming nominees and an upset primary electorate. The chaos surrounding the fracas has deeply angered many Michigan Republicans, and… Read More
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America and the Abortion Debate
Over the last fifty years, perhaps no single issue in American politics has been as hotly debated as abortion. Since the landmark 1973 Roe v. Wade ruling, which determined that a woman’s right to an abortion was constitutionally protected, the issue has become a flashpoint subject to increasing debate and,… Read More
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5/24 Primary Watchlist
Senate In Arkansas, incumbent Republican John Boozman is running for re-election. Boozman should easily win both his primary and general election; this race is rated as Safe Republican, and in a Trump +28 state, it would have been this way regardless of the lean of the cycle. In Georgia, Herschel… Read More