• Gubernatorial Ratings Update: 6/1

    Michigan In a stunning turn of events, the top three candidates for the GOP gubernatorial nomination were kicked off the ballot for signature fraud, leaving Republicans with a splintered field of underwhelming nominees and an upset primary electorate. The chaos surrounding the fracas has deeply angered many Michigan Republicans, and as a result, not one Read More

  • 5/24: Primary Roundup

    Governor (+ Secretary of State) Georgia On Tuesday, Georgia had a streak of pro-incumbent primary results. Incumbent Governor Brian Kemp was resoundingly re-nominated to a second round again Stacey Abrams. He won with 73.7% of the Republican primary vote against Trump-endorsed former Senator David Perdue. This figure exceeds the 69.5% he had won as Georgia’s Read More

  • America and the Abortion Debate

    Over the last fifty years, perhaps no single issue in American politics has been as hotly debated as abortion. Since the landmark 1973 Roe v. Wade ruling, which determined that a woman’s right to an abortion was constitutionally protected, the issue has become a flashpoint subject to increasing debate and, as partisanship accelerates, increasing polarization. Read More

  • 5/24 Primary Watchlist

    Senate In Arkansas, incumbent Republican John Boozman is running for re-election. Boozman should easily win both his primary and general election; this race is rated as Safe Republican, and in a Trump +28 state, it would have been this way regardless of the lean of the cycle. In Georgia, Herschel Walker and Raphael Warnock look Read More

  • NY Ratings: Part II

    Introduction In January, we wrote that the Empire State’s endearingly-named ‘Hochulmander’ would join Illinois as a critical part of the national Democratic redistricting phalanx. There was little expectation of a successful Republican appeal at that time. In April, the State Court of Appeals struck down the gerrymander. Neutral appointee Jonathan Cervas, tasked with drawing the Read More

  • 5/17: Primary Roundup

    Senate In North Carolina, Cheri Beasley, the former chief justice of the state Supreme Court, coasted to the Democratic nomination, facing only token opposition. Beasley’s smooth path following state Senator Jeff Jackson’s early exit has enabled her to pivot to the general election early, and she begins with a formidable cash advantage over Republican Ted Read More

  • 5/17 Primary Watchlist: Statewide

    The five states that will be featured in today’s article are Kentucky, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Idaho, and Oregon. Kentucky polls will fully close at 7:00 EST, North Carolina’s at 7:30 EST, Pennsylvania’s at 8:00 EST, and Oregon’s and Idaho’s at 11:00 EST. Senate All three of Oregon, Kentucky, and Idaho’s Senate races are rated as Read More

  • 5/17 Primary Watchlist: House

    Introduction As primary season continues to heat up, more and more states come onto the political radar. There are 45 House primaries this week alone. And while a mere handful of those matchups are actually competitive enough to cover, the sheer number of contests merits a single article devoted solely to the nation’s lower chamber. Read More

  • 5/10 Primary Roundup

    Nebraska Governor Last Tuesday, businessman Jim Pillen secured Nebraska’s Republican gubernatorial nomination, beating Trump-endorsed rival Charles Herbster by just over three percent. This is the first blemish on Trump’s endorsement record, as the Nebraska establishment largely lined up behind Pillen. Herbster’s loss could be attributed to voters being more selective when picking their governor, a Read More