Year: 2022
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CA-26, VA-10 & An Expanding GOP Battleground
Introduction History tells us that the President’s party almost always loses ground in midterm cycles. The size of congressional losses varies depending on just how unpopular a sitting President is, but gains for the party out of power generally increase as presidential approval falls. Abrupt changes in political direction associated… Read More
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Temperature Check: Pennsylvania
Perhaps no slate of elections will be as closely watched in 2022 as the ones in Pennsylvania. With a Senate seat and the governor’s mansion both up for grabs and with just over a month to go until the state’s primary elections, Split Ticket takes a look at the Keystone… Read More
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TX-34 Special: High GOP Hopes
Introduction What is South Texas? The answer to that question varies from person to person, but most political observers generally agree that a few basic categories distinguish the region from the rest of the state. Before any discussion of the 34th district special election can be had, it is important… Read More
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Quantifying Conservatism
When Brian Kemp launched his 2018 campaign for governor, his first ad caught everyone’s eye. With promises to “blow up” government spending, a massive truck that he claimed would be used to “round up criminal illegals and take ’em home”, and a gun pointed at his daughter’s boyfriend that “no… Read More
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World Report: France & Mexico
Introduction This is the second edition of Split Ticket’s World Report, an article series devoted to covering foreign elections. Today’s edition will focus on the nations of France and Mexico, with the lion’s share of attention concentrated on the hotly-contested presidential race in the former. The returns received after this evening’s… Read More
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The Declining Value of a Dollar
I need a dollar (dollar), a dollar is what I need…And if I share with you my story, would you share your dollar with me? The lyrics above are really to the 2010 Aloe Blacc song “I Need a Dollar”, but they might as well be from a desperate text… Read More
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World Report: Serbia, Hungary & Costa Rica
Introduction This is the first edition of Split Ticket’s World Report, an article series devoted to covering foreign elections. Today’s edition will focus on Serbia, Hungary, and Costa Rica. Particular attention is being paid to Serbia, where Freedom House has observed “democratic backsliding” toward authoritarianism since President Aleksandar Vučić‘s controversial… Read More