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• 6/21 Recap & June House Update

  Primary Recap Virginia In Virginia 2nd’s district, state Senator Jen Kiggans comfortably won the GOP nomination with 56% of the vote. She defeated three opponents running to her right, including Navy veteran Jarome Bell. Her strongest district-wide margin came from Virginia Beach County, where she took 63%. She performed worst in Accomack County, which Bell […]

  Harrison Lavelle

  June 24, 2022

• Temperature Check: Senate

  With just under five months to go until the November elections and primary season approximately halfway over, matchups for the Senate elections appear to be solidifying, and control of the chamber looks set to go down to the wire, with both parties having a credible case for optimism regarding the November outcome for the chamber. […]

  Lakshya Jain

  June 20, 2022

• Primary Round-Up: 6/14

  Texas-34 (GOP Success in South Texas) Last night concluded the closely-watched special election campaign in Texas-34, a seat that runs north along the Gulf Coast from the heart of the Rio Grande Valley to the greater San Antonio area. Republican Mayra Flores defeated Democratic attorney Dan Sanchez 51-43.3%, avoiding a runoff in this Biden +4 […]

  Harrison Lavelle

  June 15, 2022

• California Primary Watchlist

  INTRODUCTION Next Tuesday, there will be primary elections in seven states across the country. In an effort to keep our articles concise, Split Ticket has decided to devote a separate write-up to the Golden State alone. California is unique because it has more competitive House primaries than any other state and uses a non-partisan top-two […]

  Harrison Lavelle and Leon Sit

  June 3, 2022

• 5/24: Primary Roundup

  Governor (+ Secretary of State) Georgia On Tuesday, Georgia had a streak of pro-incumbent primary results. Incumbent Governor Brian Kemp was resoundingly re-nominated to a second round again Stacey Abrams. He won with 73.7% of the Republican primary vote against Trump-endorsed former Senator David Perdue. This figure exceeds the 69.5% he had won as Georgia’s […]

  Lakshya Jain, Leon Sit and arminthomas

  May 27, 2022

• 5/24 Primary Watchlist

  Senate In Arkansas, incumbent Republican John Boozman is running for re-election. Boozman should easily win both his primary and general election; this race is rated as Safe Republican, and in a Trump +28 state, it would have been this way regardless of the lean of the cycle. In Georgia, Herschel Walker and Raphael Warnock look […]

  Harrison Lavelle, Lakshya Jain and Leon Sit

  May 24, 2022

• 5/17: Primary Roundup

  Senate In North Carolina, Cheri Beasley, the former chief justice of the state Supreme Court, coasted to the Democratic nomination, facing only token opposition. Beasley’s smooth path following state Senator Jeff Jackson’s early exit has enabled her to pivot to the general election early, and she begins with a formidable cash advantage over Republican Ted […]

  Lakshya Jain, Harrison Lavelle and Leon Sit

  May 20, 2022

• 5/17 Primary Watchlist: Statewide

  The five states that will be featured in today’s article are Kentucky, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Idaho, and Oregon. Kentucky polls will fully close at 7:00 EST, North Carolina’s at 7:30 EST, Pennsylvania’s at 8:00 EST, and Oregon’s and Idaho’s at 11:00 EST. Senate All three of Oregon, Kentucky, and Idaho’s Senate races are rated as […]

  Lakshya Jain and Leon Sit

  May 17, 2022

• 5/3 Primary Roundup

  Senate After months of anxious waiting, the Republican Senate primary is finally over. Trump-endorsed venture capitalist J.D. Vance finished first with 32.2% of the vote, performing well in rural Ohio and the post-industrial working class Mahoning Valley. Josh Mandel came in second with 23.9%, and was generally the second choice of much of the Vance […]

  Harrison Lavelle, Leon Sit and Lakshya Jain

  May 6, 2022

• The 5/3 Primary Watchlist: Ohio and Indiana

  Introduction For this week’s edition of Watchlist, we return from a two-month primary dry spell and turn our attention to two Rust Belt states whose primaries will resume the 2022 primary election season. Indiana and Ohio voters will head to the polls on May 3rd to nominate their slates of candidates for November. Unlike Texas, […]

  Harrison Lavelle, Lakshya Jain and Leon Sit

  May 3, 2022