Split Ticket

For keen political observers, the most surprising thing about Donald Trump’s second term probably isn’t the slew of executive orders, the abrupt foreign policy pivots, or even the integration of Elon Musk in government. Instead, to many, it’s how relatively quiet Democrats have been in organizing public opposition. There are reasons to believe that this Read more

Analyzing the Jewish Vote is a challenging task. The U.S. Census does not track either Jewish religion or ethnicity, and who “counts” as Jewish is itself a controversial question. For our purposes, we will limit our analysis to 7.5–7.6 million Americans, including 5.8-6.1 million eligible voters (2.4% of the electorate), who are either Jews by Read more

Last June, we did a deep dive into the 100 largest suburban counties to explore demographic and political change between 2000 and 2020. On the demographic front, we found that all of the suburban counties included in our analysis had become more diverse. This was consistent, but not homogeneous: Asian growth featured prominently in more Read more

Reform prosecutors entered the 2024 election year with significant headwinds: in recent years, they were recalled (Chesa Boudin in San Francisco), defeated (Marilyn Mosby in Baltimore City), and blowback to racial justice has mounted since the George Floyd summer nearly five years ago.  But because prosecutors are elected at the county or circuit level, the Read more

In the run-up to the 2020 Presidential Election, Donald Trump repeatedly questioned the security of early voting (particularly mail-in voting) and encouraged Republicans to vote in-person or on election day. His base, distrustful of state boards of election and concerned about interference, largely followed suit.  At the same time, Democrats strongly encouraged their supporters to Read more