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  • Secretary of State Elections: More Important Than One Might Think

    Introduction The 2020 presidential election was one of the most chaotic, controversial, and divisive campaigns in the history of American politics. Contested between Republican incumbent Donald Trump and former Democratic Vice President Joe Biden, the tone of the race was defined by once-in-a-lifetime occurrences like the COVID-19 pandemic and the death of George Floyd, both […]

    Harrison Lavelle

    August 8, 2022
    General Analysis, Primaries, Ratings
  • Media Markets and Gerrymandering

    Gerrymandering is one of the most thrown-around words in political discourse. It is applied to every possible concept, regardless of its actual relevance to the topic at hand. Very broadly though, all concepts of the term involve the notion that the playing field is tilted to entrench an advantage for one side, most often with […]

    arminthomas

    August 7, 2022
    Uncategorized
  • World Report Special Edition: UK PM

    Background In December 2019, the Conservative Party, led by Prime Minister Boris Johnson, secured an outright majority in the House of Commons in what became a crushing defeat for its Labour foes. Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn, presiding over his party’s worst electoral showing in a generation, was later forced to give up his post. Besides […]

    Harrison Lavelle

    August 6, 2022
    World
  • 8/2 Statewide Primary Roundup

    Senate ARIZONA In Arizona, Thiel Foundation President Blake Masters comfortably eased to a double-digit victory over businessman Jim Lamon and Mark Brnovich in the GOP Senate primary, and will face off against incumbent Democratic Senator Mark Kelly in the fall. In the continuation of a theme that has been seen in many battleground states in […]

    Lakshya Jain

    August 5, 2022
    Uncategorized
  • House Primary Recap: 8/2

    *All numbers current as of publication per New York Times* Arizona AZ-01 Likely Schweikert (Predicted Correctly) In Arizona’s 1st district, incumbent Republican David Schweikert won renomination with 43% of the vote. His nearest opponent, businessman Elijah Norton, took 33%. Given the incumbent’s relatively-low share of the vote, it is probable that he would have lost […]

    Harrison Lavelle

    August 3, 2022
    House 2022, Primaries
  • 8/2 Statewide Primary Previews

    Senate MISSOURI – 8 EDT For a long time, it looked as if disgraced ex-Governor Eric Greitens was going to be the Republican nominee (and thus the heavy favorite for the November election). However, Attorney General Eric Schmitt has surged of late, with conservatives eager to rally around a less controversial and less scandal-plagued candidate, […]

    Lakshya Jain and Leon Sit

    August 2, 2022
    Uncategorized
  • 8/2 House Primary Watchlist

    Introduction For the first time since June, Split Ticket will be providing full coverage of a nationwide primary date. This week’s races will occur across five states: Arizona, Kansas, Michigan, Missouri, and Washington. Most of the attention thus far has been directed at competitive Republican primaries for Senate and Governor, but there is plenty of […]

    Harrison Lavelle

    August 2, 2022
    House 2022, Primaries, Ratings
  • Is It Normal For Young Voters To Be This Democratic?

    “To be conservative as a young person means that one has no heart, but to be liberal as an old person means that one has no brain”.The above quote is one of the oldest notions in politics, and it conveys the expectation that young voters, who consistently display the most liberal social attitudes, vote overwhelmingly […]

    Lakshya Jain

    August 1, 2022
    General Analysis, Historical, Modeling
    Historical
  • A Detailed Look Back At The 2000 Presidential Election

    Introduction The 2000 presidential election was one of the most significant in American history, from the heated campaign between George W. Bush and Al Gore to the Supreme Court’s controversial affirmation of the decisively-narrow Republican victory in Florida. At the time, Democrats were trying to hold onto the White House after two terms of Bill […]

    Lakshya Jain and Harrison Lavelle

    July 30, 2022
    General Analysis
    Historical
  • Iowa, Partisanship, and Identity: An Interview with Rob Sand

    “The most underappreciated thing about Iowa’s swing towards Trump is that it’s actually a thing of consistency. We stuck with the outsider. We picked the change candidate in 2008 and stuck with the change candidate in 2012 against a caricature of what a Democrat wants to run against in a Republican. In 2016, we went […]

    Lakshya Jain

    July 26, 2022
    Interviews
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