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Florida, Under The Hood
No state inspires emotionally-charged and heartbreak-filled political discourse quite like Florida does. Democrats have lost every top-ticket race since 2012, often by the thinnest of margins, and in 2020, the vaunted lurch rightward of virtually every major demographic in the state (apart from select groups of suburban college-educated whites) shocked observers. Soon after, Republicans finally […]
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Primary Recap 8/16
Alaska Senate In a surprisingly strong showing, incumbent GOP senator Lisa Murkowski ended up with a lead of over four points on Trump-endorsed challenger Kelly Tshibaka, which is only projected to grow once all ballots are tabulated. More tellingly, Murkowski and the Democratic candidates combined for 52 percent of the vote, which bodes very well […]
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Electability, Politics, and Veterans’ Affairs: An Interview with Jason Kander (Part 2)
This is the second part of a two-part interview with former Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander, who Split Ticket got the chance to interview. Kander was also the Democratic Party’s nominee for the Missouri Senate election in 2016 and came within two points of defeating incumbent Republican Roy Blunt. In the second part of […]
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Electoral Reform and National Service: An Interview With Jason Kander (Part 1)
This is the first of a two-part interview with former Missouri Secretary of State Jason Kander, who Split Ticket got the chance to interview. Kander was also the Democratic Party’s nominee for the Missouri Senate election in 2016 and came within two points of defeating incumbent Republican Roy Blunt. In the first part of this […]
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8/16 Primary Watchlist
Alaska Senate In an eerily similar situation to 2010, incumbent Republican senator Lisa Murkowski, one of the leaders of the GOP’s moderate wing, will once again be facing a serious challenge from her right flank. This time, Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka is attempting to unseat her, and if this was the old system with two-party primaries, […]
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Boston: Melting Pot or Powder Keg?
The political dynamics in the city of Boston have always been highly dependent on ethnocultural coalitions; Irish vs. English, Catholics vs. Protestants, White vs. Nonwhite. The Hub has been home to countless waves of peoples who were making their first stop in America. But often, increased diversity disrupts a delicate balance struck between Boston’s feuding […]
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PA Realignment
Introduction Split Ticket recently started a new series studying realignments in specific states. Our first article, touching on New Jersey, determined that traditional down ballot partisan leans continue to weather opposing national trends, albeit to a lesser degree than in years past. This fundamental conclusion regarding “down ballot lag” is more or less applicable to […]
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8/9 Primary Recap
Governor In Wisconsin, Trump-backed businessman Tim Michels won the GOP gubernatorial against former Lt. Governor Rebecca Kleefisch 47-42%. Timothy Ramthun finished third with just 6% of the vote. Going into this election, Split Ticket respectably issued an ultimately-incorrect LEANS KLEEFISCH rating. But why? Before any ballots were counted in Tuesday, most election analysts expected the […]
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8/9 Primary Watchlist
Senate VERMONT – 7:00 EDT Former US Attorney Christina Nolan, a moderate, will likely win the Republican nomination. She will go up against Democratic congressman Peter Welch in the race to succeed the retiring Democratic senator Patrick Leahy. We rate this race as SAFE DEMOCRATIC. CONNECTICUT – 8:00 EDTIn Connecticut, the GOP primary will come […]
